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東京大学公共政策大学院 | GraSPP / Graduate School of Public Policy | The university of Tokyo

齋藤 潤 SAITO, Jun

非常勤講師 / Part-time Lecturer 齋藤 潤SAITO, Jun

International Christian University, Japan Center for Economic Research

Courses in AY 2019

  • 5123390 日本のマクロ経済分析と政策形成

Education & Employment

1978年
東京大学大学院経済学研究科修士課程修了
1978年
経済企画庁(現在の内閣府)入庁
1982~1984年
英国オックスフォード大学大学院留学
1987~1990年
国際通貨基金(IMF)事務局エコノミスト
1993~現在
青山学院大学大学院国際政治経済学研究科非常勤講師
1996~1998年
日本経済研究センター経済分析部主任研究員
2005~2007年
内閣府大臣官房審議官(経済財政運営担当)
2005~2009年 
(併任)内閣府計量分析室長
2007~2012年 
内閣府政策統括官(経済財政分析担当)
2012~2017年
慶應義塾大学大学院商学研究科特任教授
2012年~現在 
日本経済研究センター研究顧問
2012年~現在
東京大学公共政策大学院非常勤講師
2016年~現在 
国際基督教大学教養学部客員教授
2018年~現在
慶応義塾大学大学院商学研究科及び経済学部特別招聘教授

Research Fields

マクロ経済学、日本経済論、経済政策論

Major Publications

1988年 “New Zealand’s Restructuring Entails Broader Scope for Market Forces,” IMF Survey, International Monetary Fund, November 28.
1991年 “Savings in Asian Developing Countries-What Measures Could be Taken to Stimulate Private Savings in Thailand?” Working Paper No.7, Economic Research Institute, Economic Planning Agency (EPA), Japan.
1996年 “Deepening of Economic Interdependence in the Asia-Pacific Region: Its Structure and the Driving Forces,” paper presented at the EPA Conference on “Macroeconomic Interdependence in the Asia Pacific Region,” held in Tokyo, Japan.
1997年 “Appreciation of the Yen and its Effect on the Japanese Economy,” in Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Macroeconomic Management, Background Papers, Japan Center for Pacific Economic Outlook (PEO), Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC).
1997年 “The Japanese Business Cycle After 1991: How is it Different, and Why?” Journal of Asian Economics, Vol. 8, No.2, pp.263-293.
1998年 “Declining Population and Sustained Growth: Can They Coexist?” with Yutaka Kosai and Naohiro Yashiro, American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, May, pp. 412-416.
1999年 “The Asian Crisis: Its Impact on Trade and Foreign Direct Investment,” paper presented at the Fourth Evian Group Meeting on the “Globalization of the East Asian Crisis: Implications for Trade & Investment and the WTO Agenda,” held in Lausanne, Switzerland.
2000年 “Long-term Growth Prospects of Asia-Pacific Economies: What Does the Asian Crisis Imply?” in The APEC Economic Committee Symposium, The Future of Asia Pacific Economies, Papers and Proceedings, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Economic Committee, Tokyo, Japan.
2004年 “Structural Reform to Transform the Japanese Economy,” in Ryuzo Miyao (ed.), Corporate Structural Transformation in Japan, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
2006年 “Was Quantitative Easing Policy Effective? An Empirical Analysis of the Monetary Policy in Japan during 2001-2006” (with Tsuyoshi Mihira, Nariyasu Yamasawa, and Haruki Seitani), paper presented at the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) International Conference on “The Changes of the Japanese Economy during the so-called Lost Decade and the Recovery out of it,” held in Tokyo, Japan.
2006年 “Economic Policies in Japan Since 2001: Stocktaking of Lessons and Outstanding Issues,” paper presented at the ESRI International Conference, ditto.
2011年 “Debt Sustainability in Japan,” paper presented at the Asia Europe Economic Forum (AEEF) Conference held in Seoul, Korea, December 9-10.
2012年 “Social Security System and Public Finance in an Aging Economy,” paper presented at the Asia Development Bank Institute (ADBI)-North East Asia Research (NEAR) Joint Conference held in Seoul, Korea, March 12.
2013年 “European Monetary Integration and Sovereign Debt Crisis”, JCER
Discussion Paper No.139, Japan Center for Economic Research, April 2013.
2013年 “The Prospects and Risks of the Japanese Economy: Consumption Tax Rate Increase and Fiscal Consolidation,” paper presented (in Japanese)at the National Research Council for Economics, Humanities, and Social Sciences (NRCS) Seminar on “Prospects on Chinese and Japanese Economy: Risks and Korean Economy” held in September 2013, Seoul, Korea.
2014年 “Immigration: a solution for Japan’s plummeting population?”, Australia & Japan in the Region, Australian National University, Volume 2, No. 4, August 2014; also in East Asia Forum Quarterly, Vol.6 No.3, Australia-Japan Research Center, July-September 2014, and in East Asia Forum, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research and South Asian Bureau of Economic Research, December 31, 2014.
2016年 “Japan’s Economy and Policy in a Global Context: Postwar Experience and Prospects for the 21st Century”, in Michael J. Green and Zack Cooper (eds.), Postwar Japan: Growth, Security, and Uncertainty since 1945, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Rowan & Littlefield.
2018年 2017 Trilateral Economic Report, co-authored with Jian Chen, Won Joo, and Jun-beom Oh,
Trilateral Cooperation Secretariat, Seoul, Korea.